Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes: Complete Fight Preview, and Prediction | UFC 314

Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Featherweight contenders Alexander Volkanovski and Diego Lopes will face off tonight (Saturday, April 12, 2025) at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, during UFC 314.

Just a few months ago, Volkanovski's future in the Featherweight division seemed uncertain. While he was likely to get an immediate rematch against Ilia Topuria, the prospect of fighting Topuria after suffering consecutive knockout losses at the age of 36 was daunting. UFC Live Stream.

In contrast, Lopes is a more unpredictable competitor. This isn't a slight against the Brazilian's skills; he simply isn't a once-in-a-generation talent. However, he is an exceptionally dangerous offensive fighter with over 30 professional bouts to his name, and he is well-positioned to secure the first title fight of his career at the height of his prime. UFC live free.

Volkanovski has established himself as one of the greatest Featherweights in history, thanks to his well-rounded skill set and strategic intelligence. The Australian fighter consistently puts his best foot forward, adapting to his opponents and effectively controlling the pace of the fight. UFC 314 live stream.

The key question is: what is the optimal game plan for Volkanovski? He excels as a precise striker and a skilled wrestler, but both areas present their own risks. As the fight progresses, Volkanovski's abilities should become more apparent compared to Lopes' explosiveness, making it crucial for him to survive the early rounds. kayo ufc 314.

Volkanovski needs to be strategic with his jab, as Lopes will likely attempt to counter with overhand strikes. Since Volkanovski tends to drift to his left while jabbing, it’s essential for him to use feints and vary his timing to avoid getting hit. Additionally, he should focus on effectively utilizing his left shoulder to enhance his defense. UFC Stream East.

Lopes possesses immense power. As a towering Featherweight, he leverages his physicality rather than relying on reach. He thrives in close-quarters exchanges, delivering heavy shots, and demonstrates excellent timing with his intercepting punches. Additionally, his jiu-jitsu black belt serves as a potential finishing option if his opponent is hurt or if the fight goes to the ground. crack streams ufc.

However, Lopes must avoid being careless in this matchup—unless Volkanovski is significantly past his prime. He should take cues from Ilia Topuria, who effectively pressured Volkanovski and landed his right hand. Even without Topuria's boxing skills, there are valuable lessons to be gleaned. UFC cracked streams.

One key tactic Lopes should adopt is Topuria’s right low kick. Volkanovski often drifts to the left or pulls back after throwing jabs, both of which can be countered with a right calf kick. Once Volkanovski's mobility is compromised, Topuria was able to land his right hand more effectively.

Lopes has the skills and power to implement this strategy successfully. He should also be prepared to shoot for takedowns.

Once again, we find ourselves choosing between the more experienced fighter and the younger contender.

Lopes has a significant statistical advantage in this matchup. If Volkanovski wins, he would make history as the first lightweight fighter to claim a championship at age 36 and the first UFC athlete to secure a title after consecutive losses. Historical trends in the UFC suggest that Volkanovski is unlikely to emerge victorious, especially when factoring in Lopes' impressive punching power. Streameast ufc. 

To put it another way: I believe Lopes is currently a stronger fighter than Brian Ortega was when he faced Volkanovski for the title. Meanwhile, "The Great" Aussie has shown signs of decline since then. If Lopes connects with even half as many clean punches as Ortega did in their five-round battle, Volkanovski may not be able to recover. UFC Streams.